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Review of the Forex Market

The U.S. dollar has declined slightly in trading on Tuesday

Dynamics

The U.S. dollar has declined slightly in trading on Tuesday. When the pair EUR / USD rose to a mark 1.2350, the pair GBP \ / USD broke the 1.4800 mark, while the pair USD \ / CHF fell to 1.1300 area. The Japanese yen remains in the range against the U.S. dollar, but also decreases against other currencies. When the pair USD \ / JPY is trading above a mark 91.00, while the pair EUR \ / JPY went to a mark of 113.00. Commodity currencies against the U.S. dollar. So, a couple of AUD \ / USD again reached the 0.8660 area, a pair NZD \ / USD again tested the 0.7000 mark, while the pair USD \ / CAD dropped back below 1.0300.

Causes

Investors have become less worried about the debt problems of the euro zone and be more optimistic about the recovery of the world economy, resulting in the demand for risky assets rose. Published on the eve of the U.S. data also boosted optimism, because there were disappointing.

At the same time, demonstrates the stability of the euro, despite the fact that the agency Moody's Investors Service on Monday after the lowering of the sovereign credit rating of Greece to "trash" conducted a similar action in relation to ratings of the nine Greek banks. Also, the euro hardly reacted to the sharp drop in the index of economic expectations ZEW in Germany. Support for single currency has had a successful auction on placement of debt securities of governments of Spain and Belgium, dispelled some fears that the euro-zone countries may face difficulties in accessing international capital markets.

The British pound reacted slight decrease in the data on consumer price inflation, which demonstrated a slight easing of inflationary pressures. But amid growing optimism, he soon was able to regain lost ground.

What to expect?

Probably, the growth of risky assets will continue until the market will remain positive mood and there will be new threats. In this case, any favorable evidence of economic recovery will strengthen optimism. In particular, today the U.S. is expected to publish a large block of new macroeconomic data, including the producer price index, data on the start of construction and industrial production. If they prove positive, the dollar will likely continue to decline against the euro and other currencies.

In the eurozone today published final data on consumer price inflation in May, and in the UK will present the latest data as of the labor market. Eurozone Inflation figures are unlikely to have any impact on the euro. In contrast, data from the UK to attract much attention, and how they will be positive, will depend on the situation of the British currency.

What fear?

Investor sentiment continues to have a decisive impact on the major currencies, and if they again begin to deteriorate, the fragile increase risky assets against the U.S. dollar again will turn their dynamic reduction.